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Carbon and the Economic Value of the Cofán Ranger Program

How do Cofán rangers help prevent carbon dioxide emissions and, therefore, global warming? And how much is that worth?

Cofán rangers have halted deforestation within the 1 million acres of territory they patrol while nearby forests are being destroyed at a rate of more than 0.5% per year.

This satellite image of Dureno, one of areas under the protection of the Cofán (see the dark green fan-shaped area inside the box) was taken in 2003. Rampant deforestation surrounds Dureno and its progress is frighteningly evident as the lighter green and brown colored tracts that follow the creation of roads in the area.

Without the successful efforts of the Cofán rangers, the natural treasures, environmental services, cultural traditions and the forest itself would have been completely lost.

 

 

The Value of the Cofán Ranger Program

There is increasing global awareness that maintaining healthy forests in the world's greatest biodiversity hotspots clearly has a real monetary value to society, but putting an exact number on that value can be a real challenge.

If we were to add it up, the real value of the Cofán Ranger Program would be the sum of the economic values resulting from their contribution to:
  • Biodiversity conservation
  • Endangered species protection
  • Watershed protection
  • Erosion prevention
  • Cultural preservation
  • Prevented CO2 emissions
The calculation of each one of these values, however, harbors its own international, decades-long, scientific, political and economic debate.

While we won't jump headfirst into the details of all of these values here, we will provide a basic idea of the value involved by taking a look at the final category of prevented CO2 emissions:

Prevented CO2 emissions by reducing deforestation

Carbon is an important topic these days as the planet heats up, glaciers and polar regions melt, weather patterns are changing, and concerned humans try to figure out how to return the CO2 and other greenhouse gases we've been pumping into the atmosphere since the industrial revolution back into the earth.

This new goal has resulted in a commercial market value for CO2, usually expressed as $/metric ton of CO2 equivalent. The basic idea of market-based trading systems is that an entity, be it a business, organization, government or the like, starts with a certain number of credits based on its historic emissions, and if an entity wants to emit more CO2, it buys credits from others. If it doesn't emit CO2,  it can sell its credits to others.  Emissions trading markets already exist at the level of large-scale businesses and utilities and voluntary carbon markets exist at the level of individuals and smaller environmentally-conscious businesses (Learn More about emissions trading).

Scientists calculate that almost 13% of the CO2 emissions on the planet come from deforestation and forest degradation (see below for details). That is a lot of carbon, and it places those who manage huge tracts of forest, like the Cofán, in an interesting position.

courtesy of The Nature Conservancy, FSC
The Cofán Territories include over one million acres of intact forests in Northern Ecuador

Realizing its potential role in the carbon game, the Cofan Survival Fund has partnered with multiple organizations to understand just how big a player it is and how it all works. After over a year of research, the Cofán now have an answer to the question: "What is the economic value of the carbon that the Cofán keep in the forests every year by preventing deforestation?"

Arriving at this number required serious science involving specialized scientific and economic teams for satellite image analysis, field measurements, literature reviews, crunching numbers, and arriving to a consensus about the calculations made and their resulting estimates.

The institutions involved in funding and undertaking the Cofán carbon work to date include:
Funds invested in this important work total over $450,000 to date.

Results Summary

Here's the Cofán carbon story, simplified and bulleted to make it easy to follow along:
  • Deforestation and forest degradation on the planet account for 12.2% of global green house gas emissions in the form of CO2:
World Emissions flowchart 2005
Click the image for a larger version and data citation references. Deforestation (Under "land-use change") is represented by the color green.
  • The Cofán Ranger Program prevents deforestation; therefore, it prevents CO2 emissions.
  • To figure out exactly how much CO2 is prevented from being released we need to know how much deforestation would take place if the Cofán rangers weren't doing their jobs. That number is calculated by quantifying the deforestation occurring right next door to the Cofán territory and assuming the same amount of deforestation would take place where the rangers work if they didn't exist.
  • Here are two satellite images shown as an example. The first was taken in 1986 and the second 10 years later in 1996. Green is forest and red is deforested areas. The fan-shaped tract of forested land in the black square is Dureno, the Cofán-managed land holding surrounded by private lands mentioned earlier.
1986



1996

The deforested area (shown in red) expanded massively during a 10-year period. The striated pattern is created as deforestation follows road construction. The Cofán territory remained forested.

  • Of course, the calculation is not that straightforward... since there are many different forest types in the Cofán territories and each would release a different amount of CO2 if deforested... also, each portion of their territory would be deforested at a different rate depending on its proximity to roads, population centers, etc... so things get complicated, but are still manageable. So, the scientists went to work accounting for all that variability.
Below is the map showing all the ecosystem types in Northern Ecuador.  Click the map to enlarge.

Ecosystems of Ecuador

Below is the resulting map of deforestation between (a) 1990 and (b) 2008 for all of Northern Ecuador. Map (c) shows the cumulative area that was deforested in blue. Click the figure to enlarge.

  • Now all of that data and geographic analyses are brought together. The numbers are crunched taking care to make conservative estimates of both the rate of deforestation and the tons of CO2 released from each ecosystem type.
  • Those results give us a conservative estimate of the number of tons of carbon expected to be lost from the forests if deforestation continues along its present trends in Northern Ecuador.
  • Finally, we calculate how much of that forest is in the Cofán territories to know how many tons of carbon the Cofán rangers are protecting. The estimated total is 90,833 metric tons of CO2 per year!
  • Once we know how many tons per year are protected within the Cofán territory, we can put a dollar value on it by multiplying tons by the market value of 1 metric ton CO2 credit.
  • Finally, after much work, the dollar value is calculated:

 

  • The final value of carbon that Cofán rangers protect on an annual basis has a market value of $810,842 per year at a $10/metric ton credit price point.  This is a conservative estimate of the real economic value of carbon management undertaken by the Cofán every year.
  • Another way to look at it: If we use carbon estimates from a study from The Field Museum in the Cordillera Azul and assume that Cofán lands contain 152 tons of carbon per hectare (61.5 tons of carbon per acre), that would be 557.3 tons of CO2 per hectare (225.5 tons CO2 per acre). That means that every year the 500,000 hectares (1 million acres) of Cofán healthy forests sequester 225.5 million tons of CO2 or 61.5 million tons of carbon!

After all these calculations, are you interested in offsetting your own personal carbon emissions from traveling by car and plane, using air conditioning and heating, and other everyday activities?


Join our Campaign for 5000 - Become a Sustaining Member of our Cofán Rangers and offset your own carbon emissions!

 

Copyright 2013 - Cofan Survival Fund 501(c)3 nonprofit in the USA

Fundación para la Sobreviviencia del Pueblo Cofán in Ecuador